Solo Mining Probability Calculator
Calculate your odds of finding a Bitcoin block as a solo miner. Enter your hashrate to see the expected time and probability at current network difficulty.
Probability Results
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Expected Time to Find Block
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Probability Per Day
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Probability Per Week
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Probability Per Month
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Probability Per Year
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Block Reward Value
Your Share of Network
Every Hash Counts
Solo mining is not about probability -- it is about conviction. Every hash your miner produces is a valid lottery ticket for the next Bitcoin block. The numbers above might seem daunting, but Bitaxe miners around the world have proven that blocks can be found by anyone.
Solo mining strengthens the Bitcoin network by decentralizing hash power. You are not just mining -- you are casting a vote for a more resilient, censorship-resistant monetary system. That is what being a Bitcoin Mining Hacker is about.
Network Context
145.04T
Current Difficulty
1,038.25 EH/s
Est. Network Hashrate
~10 min
Target Block Time
3.125 BTC
Current Block Reward
$217,288 USD
Probability estimates assume constant network conditions. Actual difficulty adjusts approximately every 2 weeks. Solo mining is inherently unpredictable -- finding a block could happen on the first hash or never. Past block wins by other solo miners do not affect your individual probability. This calculator is for educational purposes and is not financial advice.
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