Solo Mining Probability Calculator
Calculate your odds of finding a Bitcoin block as a solo miner. Enter your hashrate to see the expected time and probability at current network difficulty.
Probability Results
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Expected Time to Find Block
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Probability Per Day
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Probability Per Week
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Probability Per Month
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Probability Per Year
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Block Reward Value
Your Share of Network
Every Hash Counts
Solo mining is probabilistic. Each hash is an independent attempt to find the next Bitcoin block, and the odds depend on your share of total network hashrate. Small miners can find blocks, but the probability remains low and should be read as educational context.
Solo mining strengthens the Bitcoin network by decentralizing hash power. You are not just mining -- you are casting a vote for a more resilient, censorship-resistant monetary system. That is what being a Bitcoin Mining Hacker is about.
Network Context
136.61T
Current Difficulty
977.87 EH/s
Est. Network Hashrate
~10 min
Target Block Time
3.125 BTC
Current Block Reward
$229,453 USD
Methodology
This calculator estimates solo mining odds from your hashrate and the available Bitcoin network conditions.
- Estimated network hashrate is derived from difficulty, 2^32, and a 600-second target block time.
- Expected time is calculated from your share of the network hashrate.
- Probability windows assume constant difficulty; solo mining remains random and outcomes are not guaranteed.
Data sources: user inputs, network or market data available on the page, manufacturer specifications, and the displayed assumptions. Verify results before making financial or electrical decisions.
Probability estimates assume constant network conditions. Actual difficulty adjusts approximately every 2 weeks. Solo mining is inherently unpredictable -- finding a block could happen on the first hash or never. Past block wins by other solo miners do not affect your individual probability. This calculator is for educational purposes and is not financial advice.
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Last reviewed May 25, 2026. Added to route educational and product traffic toward exact commercial next steps.